PokerBlogZine.com - The very latest poker news and opinions from the blogosphere
 
Search:
Bringing you the very best of the poker blogs Video Blog | Poker Podcast | Poker Newsletter | Poker Blog Archive | Latest News

Tuesday 24th March 2009, 6:48pm

Source: ESPN.com Poker Headlines

Bernard Lee explains a recent situation in which it was correct to fold aces

When I began writing for ESPN.com in the spring of 2006 (I can't believe it has already been three years), I was asked to write about playing in satellites for large buy-in events. I wrote about my experiences qualifying for events such as the Foxwoods Poker Classic and World Series of Poker main event. In June 2006, I wrote a column that received a lot of feedback.

The column was entitled "Muck Aces Preflop?" .

At first glance, this statement seems absurd. After all, pocket aces is absolutely the best starting hand in hold 'em. Since you only get dealt them about 0.45 percent of the time (approximately 1 out of 222 hands), you obviously can't waste the opportunity. However, in the perfect circumstance, they can and should be folded preflop. This specific situation occurs during the bubble of a satellite.

Let me summarize my previous column:

Although it is impractical to lay down aces preflop during regular tournament play, satellite tournaments are slightly different. Remember that in a satellite tournament, all of the winners receive the same exact prize, whether you finish as the chip leader or just barely survive the cut, holding only one single chip. Although aces are a huge favorite preflop (on average, they are an 80 percent favorite), if you have enough chips on or near the bubble to be 100 percent guaranteed a seat, why risk your chips on an 80 percent chance? Thus, you should muck aces in this situation.

When the column appeared in 2006, some people thought the idea was ludicrous, while others embraced the concept. Nevertheless, this notion was all theoretical. Could you really do this during an actual satellite?

Well, recently at the WSOP Circuit event at Caesars in Atlantic City, N.J., theory met reality.

Setting the scene:

During the night before the $5,000 buy-in WSOP Circuit main event, 172 players registered for the final satellite. Seventeen main event seats were up for grabs with the bubble boy (the 18th-place finisher) receiving only $1,030.

After more than seven hours of play, only 18 players remained. With blinds $2,000/$4,000, antes $400, the average stack was just under $29,000 (everyone began with only $3,000). Although our table did not have anyone with less than $15,000, the other table had three players with less than $10,000. These players did not even have enough chips to make it one rotation around the table. It was only a matter of time before the bubble was burst … but before that happened, the following hand occurred.

Playing hand for hand, the player sitting under the gun decided to min-raise to $8,000. Surprisingly, the player two to his left made the call. Although I was in the big blind, I quickly mucked my cards. We were off to a rare bubble flop.

9s-9d-9c.

Although the original caller raised his hand, somewhat suggesting that he was willing to check the hand down, the under-the-gun player bet $12,000. Shrugging his shoulders, his opponent astoundingly made the call. Now, this was getting interesting. As the buzz quickly spread to the other players, the interested participants, especially the short stacks, began to crowd around our table.

When the dealer turned the 4h, the under-the-gun player immediately moved all-in for his remaining chips, approximately $15,000. Immediately, his opponent, who had him covered by about $5,000, called and flipped over Qs-Qh. However, the under-the-gun player revealed As-Ac. He was a 95-to-5 favorite to win this huge pot.

As the dealer prepared to turn over the river card, the opponent shook his head in disgust, realizing he was about to lose the majority of his chips and become one of the short stacks.

However, lightning then struck on the river. Qd! Everyone exploded in utter disbelief. He hit his two-outer, and the under-the-gun player was knocked out on the bubble.

So let's examine the hand:

Obviously, the under-the-gun player should have just folded his aces. He was absolutely 100 percent guaranteed his seat with an above-average stack. (Heck, I had $27,000 and I was fully confident I had gotten my seat.) With most of the players having fewer chips than him, especially the three short stacks, there was no need to risk losing with pocket aces.

Of course, there are situations in which you would call on the satellite bubble. For example, if you had been dealt pocket aces in the big blind and a short stack pushed all-in for only $4,000 more. In this situation, it would make sense to call, trying to eliminate the bubble boy, since you still would have plenty of chips even if you had lost to the short stack. Of course, if you were one of the short stacks, mucking aces would not be the best course of action because your seat is still in doubt. In that case, it probably would be worth the risk to go all-in.

However, in this hand, the player in question opened the betting from under the gun with a few larger chip stacks sitting behind him.

Nevertheless, after he had made the original raise, he should have taken the hint from his opponent to check down the hand. He still would have had about $27,000 left after he lost the hand, which would still have been sufficient to earn his main event seat.

After spending the last few paragraphs criticizing the under-the-gun player, we must also sharply disapprove of the call by his opponent. If this column is recommending folding pocket aces preflop, then folding pocket queens seems truly obvious. With over $40,000, he was also guaranteed his seat and did not need to play another hand. His implication to check down the hand showed that he did not want to risk losing his seat; however, his ambition got the better of him. Overall, he never should have called.

Finally, here is another intriguing suggestion. At any stage of the hand, the under-the-gun player could have flipped over his hand, revealing his pocket aces and made a bet or raise, or pushed all-in. WSOP Rule 50 states, "A player exposing his or her hand with action pending may incur a penalty, but will not have a dead hand." Thus, his opponent would have definitely folded after seeing the pocket aces. The under-the-gun player may have gotten a 10-minute penalty, but who cares? There was no way he would have gotten blinded out during this penalty. And, in all honesty, someone would have probably been eliminated in this time.

So the next time you are playing in a satellite and have enough chips to be guaranteed a seat, remember that there is basically no need to play another hand - even pocket aces!

And after reading this column, you can see that this is not just a theory. It can be a reality!

19th October 2009 3:08pm

Source: Poker News Headlines

Is SEGA Poker On The Way?

Video game provider SEGA could be set to launch their own poker and casino platforms following the granting of a gambling licence by the Alderney Gambling Control Commission today.

18th October 2009 10:25am

Source: GoodLuck Poker Blog

The 5 Dumbest Things I Ever Did Playing Poker

As with anything new in someone's life - whether it's a new job, or a new recipe or even a new game, you have to learn about it before you can say you understand it. Same thing goes for poker.

17th October 2009 10:32pm

Source: Poker News Daily

Full Tilt Responds to Poker Bot Lawsuit

Online poker room Full Tilt Poker is known for keeping mum when it comes to its legal and business matters, but the company broke its silence to comment on a recent lawsuit by former customers Lary Kennedy and Greg Omotov.

16th October 2009 7:02pm

Source: TJ Cloutier

From Canada to Texas: Football & Poker

Anybody who sees me at a poker table says that I look like a football player. And of course, that's what I was in my youth. After I got out of the Army, I signed on as with the Montreal Allouettes, where I played first string tight end until I was traded to the Toronto Argonauts.

14th October 2009 8:05pm

Source: Poker News Daily

Doyle Brunson Inducted into Hardin-Simmons University Athletic Hall of Fame

Legendary poker player Doyle Brunson will be feted yet again on Friday night, but not for any of his performances over his 50-plus year career in the game of poker.

13th October 2009 6:50pm

Source: PokerListings.com

WSOP introducing November Nine Academy

The final table of the World Series of Poker Main Event represents the pinnacle of a poker player's career, but every player has to start somewhere.

12th October 2009 10:05am

Source: Poker King Blog

A.J. Benza Out as Co-Host of High Stakes Poker

When "High Stakes Poker" returns for its sixth season in February of 2010, there will be one major change - A.J. Benza will no longer be a part of the show.

9th October 2009 5:18pm

Source: Poker News Daily

Aaron Gustavson Defeats Peter Eastgate in EPT London

As the great wrestler Ric Flair said, ?To be the man, you gotta beat the man!? In this week?s finale of the European Poker Tour?s (EPT) London stop, Aaron Gustavson did just that, besting reigning World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event Champion Peter Eastgate heads-up.

7th October 2009 7:04pm

Source: PokerListings.com

durrrr Challenge: The half way mark and more

Possibly getting underway with the half-way goal in mind, the latest session in the durrrr Challenge only ended after a total of 1,063 hands were played.

6th October 2009 6:36pm

Source: Poker News Daily

Doyle Brunson Advocates WSOP Europe Venue Change

Even though he has more than 50 years in the poker world under his belt, poker legend Doyle Brunson continues to be one of the leaders in the community, advocating suggestions for improvements to the industry.

OLDER NEWS ARCHIVES

  • September 2010
  • August 2010
  • July 2010
  • June 2010
  • May 2010
  • April 2010
  • March 2010
  • February 2010
  • January 2010
  • December 2009
  • November 2009
  • October 2009
  • September 2009
  • August 2009
  • July 2009
  • June 2009
  • May 2009
  • April 2009
  • March 2009
  • February 2009
  • January 2009
  • December 2008
  • November 2008
  • October 2008